Moody’s credit rating agency downgraded the credit rating of the United States government from Aaa to Aa1, citing the rising national debt as the primary driver behind the reduction in creditworthiness.
According to the May 16announcementfrom the rating agency, US lawmakers have failed to stem annual deficits or reduce spending over the years, leading to agrowing national debt. The rating agency wrote:
The credit downgrade is only one degree out of the 21-notch rating scale used by the company to assess the credit health of an entity.
Despite the negative short to medium-term credit outlook, Moody’s maintained a positive outlook on the long-term health of the United States, citing its robust economy and the status of the US dollar as theglobal reserve currencyas strengths, reflecting “balanced” lending risks.
Related:Asia’s wealthy shifting from US dollar to crypto, gold, China: UBS
Investors react to Moody’s US credit revision
Moody’s announcement drew mixed reactions from investors and market participants, leaving many unconvinced by the agency’s revised outlook.
Gabor Gurbacs, CEO and founder of crypto loyalty rewards company Pointsville, cited the rating agency’s previous credit assessments during times of financial stress as unreliable, signaling that the outlook was too optimistic.
“This is the same Moody’s that gave Aaa ratings to sub-prime mortgage-backed securities that led to the 2007-2008 financial crisis,” the executive wrote in a May 17 Xpost.
However, macroeconomic investor Jim Bianco argued that the recent Moody’s credit outlook does not reflect a real downgrade in the perception of US government creditworthiness andcharacterizedthe announcement as a “nothing burger.”
US government debt surpassed $36 trillion in January 2025 and shows no signs of slowing, despite recent efforts by Elon Musk and others toreduce federal spendingand curtail the national debt.
As the debt climbs and investors lose faith in US government securities, bond yields will spike, causing the debt service payments to go up, further inflating the national debt.
This creates a vicious cycle as the government will have to entice investors with ever-greater yields to incentivize them to purchase government debt.
Magazine:Elon Musk’s plan to run government on blockchain faces uphill battle
Explore more articles like this
Subscribe to the Markets Outlook newsletter
Get critical insights to spot investment opportunities, mitigate risks, and refine your trading strategies. Delivered every Monday
By subscribing, you agree to ourTerms of Services and Privacy Policy